Email: bettina.luescher@wfp.org
Water authorities in Botswana, Swaziland, South Africa and Namibia are limiting water usage because of low water levels.
Fish thrive in the upwelling cold nutrient-rich water along the South American west coast during the years not affected by an El Niño, however the pooling of warmer water so close to the South American coastline forces the cold water further down into the ocean, creating a less supportive environment for a marine ecosystem, which subsequently has to migrate either north or south to colder water. El Niño is a cyclic event which affects the global climate every 3 to 5 years, for approximately nine to 12 months.
Thermocline represents boundary between warm and lower cold water. However, countries along the South American east coast especially Mexico can experience torrential downpours and increased hurricane activity during an El Niño event.
The numbers of the food insecure population are now increasing due to the current drought and high market prices (maize prices in South Africa and Malawi were at record highs in January). In the short term, the following actions are required: 1. continued close monitoring of the season to inform decision-making on programming and targeting; * Some 8.2 million Ethiopians – out of a population of nearly 100 million – need food aid. WFP-VAM based on CHIRPS v2.0 rainfall data. Additional assistance will be required to help food-insecure households manage an extended 2016 lean season. Drought emergencies have been declared in most of South Africa’s provinces as well as in Zimbabwe and Lesotho. The combination of a poor 2014-2015 season, an extremely dry early season (October to December) and forecasts for continuing hot and drier-than-average conditions through mid-2016, suggest a scenario of extensive, regional-scale crop failure.
These include: observing temperature shifts towards the east in the upper 200 metres of the Pacific Ocean and measuring storm activity in the region of Peru and Ecuador. In many areas, planting has not been possible due to 30 to 50 day delays in the onset of seasonal rains resulting in widespread crop failure. It represents the warm phase of ENSO, the El-Niño Southern Oscillation, whereas La Nina, its colder opposite forms part of the cold phase.
This statement reflects a shared view of current conditions and the likely evolution of the situation in southern Africa by major actors involved in global food security monitoring and early warning. Note large areas falling within the three driest seasons since 1981. + 41-79-842-8057.
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